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Week 2 Observations

I have no idea what really happened this weekend. I was at a wedding up in Menlo Park, staying at a friend's house (the friend's name was Mike Evans, so naturally I set a lot of DFS lineups with his namesake), and Mike had only one TV and no Sunday Ticket. I could have gone to a sports bar, but I was hungover from the wedding, had no car, i.e., once they dropped me off there, I was stuck for five hours, and preferred to recline on the sofa and surf the Sunday Ticket offerings from my laptop.

So I saw a lot of the 49ers and Raiders and tracked the Giants early and Cowboys late online. But DirecTV only lets you stream one game at a time, so I didn't watch most of the other games. And, truth be told, the streaming is buggy and even when it works it's behind, so you're watching a drive, and you can see on Yahoo! or Twitter they already got a field goal, so you lose interest. (That reminds me, I have to call for a refund tomorrow.)

Bottom line, I watched about three and a half games, and while I track everything and read all the RotoWire notes, my understanding of what happened is all results, no process. That said, here are my observations:

 After botching another end-game sequence, the Giants are 0-2, and it's particularly inopportune when you consider they could be 2-0 with the Cowboys 1-1 (and missing their two best players for at least half the year) and the Eagles 0-2.

The Jets-Colts game was borderline unwatchable. The Colts are so badly coached from play-calling to clock management to the use of timeouts to which players are on the field in what situations. It's painful to see them running Frank Gore, down 10, with with 10 minutes left in the game and no urgency whatsoever. Or not trying an onside kick after a penalty gave them the chance to kick off from midfield. Or attempting a short FG (and missing) on 4th-and-2 from deep in the Jets' end. And signing a decrepit Andre Johnson when they had a developing second-year man in Donte Moncrief was almost as dumb as trading a first-round pick for Trent Richardson.

I was down on Derek Carr, but he carved up a Ravens defense that shut down Peyton Manning at home the prior week. Amari Cooper had one big play, but Michael Crabtree saw 16 targets and led the team in receiving. I don't want to conclude Carr's turned the corner yet, but this is a big data point in his favor.

 Steve Smith had a big game against a weak secondary, but he looked fairly nimble for a 36-year old, and he saw 16 targets. Crockett Gilmore looked like Rob Gronkowski on a play where he carried a couple defenders into the end zone.

He didn't play especially well, but you can see what would happen fantasy-wise if the Niners turned Colin Kaepernick loose. Vernon Davis hasn't had a big game yet, but he's getting targets and looks healthy.

• I didn't buy into Ben Roethlisberger being a top-five QB, and I was probably wrong. They'll be in a lot of shootouts, the loss of Maurkice Pouncey doesn't seem to be a problem, Antonio Brown is not regressing, and Le'Veon Bell and Martavis Bryant will be back soon.

I'd still take Tom Brady ahead of Roethlisberger, though, as the Patriots defense might be just as bad, and they don't care at all about running the ball. If former second rounder Aaron Dobson (6-3, 200, 4.37 40), who caught 7-of-8 targets for 87 yards Sunday, proves to be a reliable field stretcher, Brady could have another season for the ages.

It's hard to say who the No. 2 TE is right now, but it's not Jimmy Graham.

The problem for Jeremy Hill isn't just the fumbles but that Gio Bernard is really good, is better on passing downs and probably would not have lost the starting job had he stayed healthy last year. Both backs should get work, but it might be 50/50.

As bad as the Eagles performance against the Cowboys was on Sunday, remember this game from two years ago, when Dallas knocked Nick Foles out and held Philly to three points? Two games later, this happened. I've always hated Sam Bradford, but it's probably time to buy low.

The Packers are 2-0, but they miss Jordy Nelson. No, James Jones, who caught one pass for 29 yards and a touchdown is not a serious replacement, and Davante Adams hasn't stepped up.

Week 2 had to be one of the sickest Survivor Weeks in NFL history. I recommended fading the Saints, but both my teams, the Colts and Ravens, also lost. My next two choices would have been the Dolphins and Eagles. It turns out the Steelers (whom I didn't trust) were the call. Hopefully, if you take one lesson from it, it's that it often pays to fade the herd because if you did take the Steelers, you're likely down to the final few.