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Week 7 Observations

Another bad week ATS, and the first loss by my NFFC team didn't make for the most pleasant watch. I've said all I have to say about refs, so let's just get to the games.

I had the Eagles plus three, and the Sunday night game was over before it started. The Eagles couldn't protect Carson Wentz, and that was mostly the difference. No Eagles receiver had more than five targets.

The Saints are the best team in the NFL. Without Drew Brees and Alvin Kamara, they were up 26 in the fourth quarter in Chicago despite missing two field goals, allowing a kick return TD and having their own punt return TD called back. The Bears got two garbage time TDs late apparently, but I had stopped watching by then.

Michael Thomas doesn't care who the QB or the opponent is. Teddy Bridgewater -- with that line and set-up -- isn't a huge downgrade from Brees these days.

What's gotten into Wil Lutz, previously one of the league's best kickers?

Despite the garbage time production, Mitch Trubisky had 4.6 YPA. He's a poor man's Blake Bortles, though Allen Robinson would be the expert on that.

Mark Andrews' uncharacteristic drops killed me in fantasy. What made it worse was I faced Lamar Jackson who got the TD instead. Jackson might be a top-five NFL runner (not top-five running QB), and he's a good enough passer given his running skills.

The Ravens defense clamped down on Russell Wilson and Chris Carson, something that's not easy to do, especially in Seattle. Maybe they were overrated early, but well-coached teams have a way of coming around.

I had the Chargers plus two, and they briefly went ahead 27-23 before the Austin Ekeler TD was reviewed and ruled a half yard short, before their false start put them back to the six until the PI got them back to the one, until Melvin Gordon got the hand-off and fumbled just short of the goal line, before the 10 minute review confirming that.

And all that was after Ryan Tannehill was ruled short on a fourth-down sneak which seemed to have gotten the first down, but Mike Vrabel for God knows what reason didn't challenge the call.

But it's on me for not realizing Tajae Sharpe's team would cover against Damion Square's.

Tannehill actually looked competent like he did at times on the Dolphins. Maybe he can breathe some life into the passing game with A.J. Brown and Corey Davis.

Gordon had a tough match-up, struggled and ultimately cost his team the game while Austin Ekeler led the team in receiving.

The Rams annihilated the Falcons, but surprisingly weren't able to run the ball with Todd Gurley or Darrell Henderson. Matt Ryan hurt his ankle and could miss time, pending an MRI, but now we at least realize Matt Schaub is still in the league.

The Dolphins made a game of it against the Bills, before their onside kick was returned for a TD to push the margin to 10. The Bills are decent, but shouldn't have been 17-point favorites against anyone.

I didn't watch any of the Bengals-Jaguars except the highlight of Andy Dalton's pick six that killed my last hopes for a cover. I didn't want to be on the Bengals, but that's where my stupid pre-game lines put me by half a point.

I also wanted to take the Vikings, so I made the line a pick 'em, thinking the Lions would be a small favorite. Wrong. The Vikings were a small favorite, and I was stuck with Detroit who couldn't get to Aaron Rodgers the prior Monday night.

Kirk Cousins had his third straight huge game -- another 337 yards and four TDs. Like all QBs Cousins is much better when he's not under pressure, but for him the splits seem extreme. So much for Detroit's supposedly great pass defense, and keep in mind the Vikings' best receiver, Adam Thielen, got hurt in the first quarter.

Marvin Jones caught four TDs and dropped a fifth -- focus on the drop if he was on your bench.

Aaron Rodgers had a game for the ages -- without Davante Adams -- 13.8 YPA, five TD passes, 429 yards and a rushing TD. I had Marquez Valdes-Scantling on my bench, but in my defense, he did his damage on only three targets. Maybe the Matt LaFleur offense is coming together.

Darren Waller is a top-five TE right now, and you could put him as high as No. 1 -- until Patrick Mahomes returns.

The Colts have lost only two games, one in overtime to the Chargers because Adam Vinatieri missed two field goals and one at home to the Raiders. I'm not sure what their ceiling is, but their floor with Jacoby Brissett and Frank Reich is high. They're the poor man's Saints.

Will Fuller got hurt again, this time in the first quarter. DeAndre Hopkins got his, but it was mostly dink and dunk with Kenny Stills making the big plays.

It was frustrating to root for the Giants, have them minus three and have Kyler Murray going in fantasy, only to see Chase Edmunds go off for three easy rushing TDs. The Giants defense -- aside from allowing long runs to Edmunds early -- wasn't terrible and largely corralled Murray.

Daniel Jones looked fine to me, but he held the ball too long a couple times, resulting in two lost fumbles. But the bigger story were a couple terrible drops (Evan Engram's in particular) and atrocious offensive line play, especially on the game's final series. The Giants should have an above average line given its health and the investments they've sunk into it, but it's bottom 10 right now.

The Giants run blocking wasn't any better -- Saquon Barkley had some big gains on the rare occasion he found a hole, but was also trapped behind the line of scrimmage too often. Barkley didn't help his cause by dancing too much and running backwards, either. Barkley also seemed to aggravate his ankle injury on a play, had to leave the game, but later returned.

The Niners-Redskins was a waste of a game. I had Niners minus 10, but I didn't realize weather would neutralize it into an arbitrary slog.