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Week 3 Observations

In a week where nearly everything went right for me, why do I still feel like I got karate-kicked in the solar plexus? It must be because I faded the Vikings in Survivor, saw the nine other remaining people on the Vikings, then watched my team, the Jaguars, unable to stop the Titans' game-winning, death-by-1,000-cuts field-goal drive. There's a zero-percent chance for such a mistake-free drive had the Jaguars not foolishly concussed Blaine Gabbert out of the game, too.

• Kerryon Johnson looks like the second best back in the rookie class behind Saquon Barkley. Johnson is smooth, shifty and breaks tackles. He went 16-for-101 and caught two of his three targets for five yards. His fantasy value might lag his skills, though, with LeGarrette Blount (16 carries, two catches) and Theo Riddick (three catches for 36 yards) clogging things up.

• Sony Michel (14 carries, 50 yards, one catch on three targets for minus-1 yard) is the only game in town. Rex Burkhead didn't receive a single carry before leaving with a neck injury, and James White's 37 rushing yards mostly came on the final drive when New England was letting the clock expire. White is still the pass catcher of the backfield, of course.

• Tom Brady did nothing, and neither did his receivers. Brady had plenty of time to throw, but no one was open. Fortunately, he should have Josh Gordon next week, and Julian Edelman the week after that. Hard to know what to make of Gordon's role, since he was a healthy scratch, but desperation is the mother of opportunity.

• Matthew Stafford played passably, spreading the ball to his three receivers and Riddick, but he wasn't asked to do a ton with a lead the entire game.

• I'd rather watch a period-piece romance than a Cowboys game, and when the opponent is a Brian Schottenheimer-led offense missing its top receiver, it's the ugliest cast in the history of cinema.

Zeke Elliott always gets his, and he should have had a much bigger game had he not stepped out of bounds before catching a would-be long TD. But that's the only thing the Cowboys have going for them on offense, and it's not nearly enough.

• Dak Prescott had 4.9 YPA, two picks and took five sacks. Why even suit up? Once again, none of his receivers are remotely worth using, and his coach is running an offense from 1973.

• Russell Wilson was passable, but only Tyler Lockett (6-4-77-1) has any bankable value among his targets.

So much for Rashaad Penny's smooth running last week. Chris Carson went 32-102-1 with two catches for 22 yards, and Penny only three carries for five yards and no targets. Nick Vannett caught four of five targets, ostensibly regaining the No. 1 role from Will Dissly. Not that anyone outside of my two-TE, Stopa league cares.

• Josh Rosen couldn't get it done, throwing a key pick (though it was fourth down) on the potential game-winning drive, but I have to think once that box was opened, the Cardinals can't close it, and why should they? Sam Bradford looks like Methuselah in his final decade out there. (Bradford's 8.3 YPA was fine, but he threw two picks and lost a fumble that cost the Cardinals the game.)

 David Johnson caught a 21-yard TD, but had only 12 carries for 31 yards. He remains in purgatory until the offense wakes up.

• Christian Kirk caught seven of eight targets for 80 yards, while a banged-up Larry Fitzgerald caught two passes for nine yards. I'd say this might be the "changing of the guard" but that would mean the Cardinals were Buckingham Palace.

• Mitch Trubisky is failing the eye test, and the stats back it up - 6.3 YPA, a pick and three sacks. Maybe he gets better, but this is Year 2, and the QBs that have it, like Baker Mayfield, usually prove it sooner rather than later.

• I have no idea why the Bears want to feature the 165-pound Taylor Gabriel so much (they even used him as a lead blocker on a play), but he got 10 targets for 34 yards. Will Burton, Allen Robinson and Anthony Miller (who separated his shoulder) were the other key targets.

 Jordan Howard had 24 carries and a TD, but for only 61 yards. Tarik Cohen went five for 53 and had three catches to Howard's two.

• The Rams are easily the best team in the NFL. Picking No. 2 is the tougher call.

• Jared Goff had another 354 yards on 9.8 YPA and three TDs, despite his team leading the entire game, losing a TD pass to Brandin Cooks on a replay-overturn and his team scoring on a blocked punt. The Rams fantasy-relevant players perform irrespective of game flow.

• Todd Gurley had a ho-hum 23-105-1 and five catches for 51 yards. Business as usual. He did lose a fumble, but that's never been an issue for him.

• The big-three Rams receivers split the work again with Roberts Woods (11-10-104-2) leading the way. Cooks went 8-7-90 and Cooper Kupp 6-4-71-1.

• Philip Rivers had a passable game, but Keenan Allen (7-3-44) was shut down despite the Rams two best corners leaving with injuries. Mike Williams (7-4-81-2) looks like a serious breakout candidate in Year 2.

• Every week Melvin Gordon (15-80-1 and two catches for four yards) seems to get his, but Austin Ekeler (4-for-47, three catches for 24 yards) was more efficient on lower volume. (Ekeler fumbled, but it was while he was fighting for a first down on fourth down, so the team would have turned it over anyway.)

• Eli Manning played much better Sunday, thanks to better offensive line play (who knew replacing Erick Flowers was three years overdue?) Still, Manning took four sacks - essentially he can function competently with a clean pocket and elite weapons in Pat Shurmur's system, but once things break down, he's toast. His 10.2 YPA, two TDs and no picks pass muster, however.

• Odell Beckham (10-9-109) catches anything thrown anywhere near him. Sterling Shepard (7-6-80-1) benefitted from Evan Engram's absence (left in the first half with a knee injury) and also has Manning's trust.

• After catching 14 passes in Week 2, Saquon Barkley went a modest 5-5-35, but also had 17 carries for 82 yards and a TD. Call me a homer, but he's already the best back in the league, breaking tackles every time he touches the ball and always a threat to get outside for big gains. His performance inspired this Twitter poll:

• Rhett Ellison (3-3-39-1) could be worth a look in this offense if Engram were to miss significant time.

• Will Fuller (11-5-101-1) always gets his when Deshaun Watson is playing, though keep in mind Eli Apple, the Giants starting left corner, missed the game. DeAndre Hopkins (10-6-86) still has arguably the WR highest floor in fantasy football for receivers each week.

• Watson had a big day playing catch-up, with 385 passing yards, two TDs and 36 yards on the ground. He threw one pick and took three sacks.

• Lamar Miller contributed in the passing game (6-5-41-1), but was stuffed on the ground 10 carries for 10 yards. The Texans line is among the worst in the league.

• Case Keenum has struggled with the Broncos, and this week was his worst showing yet - 192 yards (5.6 YPA), no TDs, a pick and three sacks. Maybe Chad Kelly could get a shot soon.

Keenum's receivers did nothing of note, aside from a 35-yard TD run from Emmanuel Sanders, and rookie tailback Phillip Lindsay was ejected for fighting.

• Royce Freeman went 13-53-1 and caught one pass for five yards, Devontae Booker went 7-5-34, but was stuffed (5-for-10) in the run game.

• Joe Flacco had a passable game while playing with a lead, and John Brown - 9-5-86 - continues to be the star of the receiving corps now that he's finally healthy. Michael Crabtree 10-9-61 was his usual high-volume, modest-output self.

• Justin Tucker made two more 52-yard field goals, and his only miss was blocked.

• I can't think about the Titans-Jaguars game anymore. Suffice it to say, the way for a bad team to beat the Jaguars is to get into a slugfest with them and avoid mistakes. The Titans executed this to a tee with no turnovers, only 30 yards in penalties, three sacks taken and three of four field goals made.

• Derrick Henry saw 18 clock-chewing carries while Dion Lewis saw only nine, but the team's only effective weapon was Marcus Mariota's scrambing (7-for-51.)

• Blake Bortles neither tried nor succeeded in doing anything. Maybe the Titans defense is good, but the Jaguars were too conservative and shouldn't have punted the ball away on 4th-and-4 on the game's penultimate drive. I get being aggressive against the Patriots last week and being conservative against the Titans here, but they took it too far.

• Andy Dalton racked up a ton of yardage despite losing A.J. Green (groin) for much of the game, but he threw four picks. With Green out, Tyler Boyd, seemingly a second-round bust, went 7-6-132-1. If Green misses any more time, Boyd's presumably the team's No. 1. Tyler Eifert also had a mini break-out, going 8-6-74. If he can stay healthy, he'll be a red-zone threat too.

• Gio Bernard ran well (12-for-51) and caught five of nine targets for 25 yards. He's the only game in town until Joe Mixon comes back.

• Cam Newton did what he had to - two rushing and two passing TDs on modest yardage.

• Christian McCaffrey finally got the workload Ron Rivera seemed to promise and delivered big - 28 carries for 184 yards - though he had only two catches for 10 yards. It's a fierce competition between McCaffrey and Julio Jones for who can avoid the end zone the longest, however.

• Devin Funchess led the Panthers with a 7-4-61-1 line, but there wasn't a ton of passing from the Panthers.

• Aaron Rodgers took four sacks and struggled to generate offense against the Redskins. Washington's defense might be good, but Rodgers is gimpy and has below-average weapons. He has to be ranked below Drew Brees and Pat Mahomes at the very least right now.

• The Packers split carries between three backs, but unsurprisingly Aaron Jones (6-for-42) was the most effective. Who knows what Mike McCarthy will do, though?

• Davante Adams went 9-7-52-1 and Geronimo Allison 4-2-76-1, while Randall Cobb did little. Jimmy Graham went 7-5-45, and Ty Montgomery 7-6-48 in addition to carrying the ball four times for 16 yards. Jamaal Williams had two catches for 16 yards (and five carries for 29), while Jones caught one pass for five yards.

• Alex Smith attempted only 20 passes, but managed 220 yards (11.0 YPA), two TDs and one pick, while not taking a sack.

• Jordan Reed (7-4-65) was Smith's primary target, while Vernon Davis led the team with 70 receiving yards and Jamison Crowder and Paul Richardson caught TDs. Josh Doctson and Chris Thompson did nothing. (This is not an easy offense to project each week.)

• Adrian Peterson had a monster day - 19-120-2. He didn't receive any targets, but there's no doubt who the bell cow is here. There aren't more than half a dozen backs who should be projected for more rushing TDs right now.

• Carson Wentz was pedestrian in his return, but made some characteristic amazing escapes and throws on the run. He passed the eye test despite modest stats.

• Eagles wideouts did almost nothing with tight ends Zach Ertz (10-5-73) and Dallas Goedert (7-7-73-1) seeing most of the looks. Wendell Smallwood went 10 for 56 on the ground with a score and caught three passes for 35 yards. Corey Clement went 16-for-56 on the ground and caught three passes for 19 yards. So long as Jay Ajayi is out, the two will split the work fairly evenly, it seems.

• Andrew Luck managed only 4.1 YPA (40 passes, 164 yards) and one TD. He had a 33-yard run and didn't throw any picks, but took two sacks.

•  The Colts running backs did nothing. And T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron saw 10 and 11 targets, respectively, but combined for only 83 yards. Ryan Grant caught the team's lone TD.

• The 16.5-point underdog Bills shocked the Vikings, blowing them out at home in one of the NFL's all-time upsets. Josh Allen starred with 8.9 YPA and a TD in 22 attempts. But it was his 10-for-39 on the ground, including an epic hurdle of a Vikings defender to pick up a first down, along with two rushing scores that dropped jaws. While it was an amazing play (and game) from Allen, he still has arguably the worst weapons in the league, and the Vikings - who struggled in Green Bay and were lucky to win at home against the 49ers - might not be the defense we thought heading into the year.

• Chris Ivory was the Bills workhorse with 20 carries and three catches for 126 YFS. Marcus Murphy had eight carries and one catch.

• Kirk Cousins had a poor game, but Adam Thielen always gets his - 19-14-105. Stefon Diggs was held to 10-4-17. Latavius Murray had seven targets, five catches and 30 yards receiving, but saw only two carries for one yard in the blowout.

• Derek Carr had another efficient game minus the soul-crushing picks. He went 27-for-39 for 345 (8.8 YPA), but threw two interceptions vs. only one TD. Jordy Nelson went 8-6-173-1, Jalen Richard went 7-6-59 out of the backfield and tight end Jared Cook went 6-5-31.  That left nothing for any of the other receivers, including Amari Cooper, whose every disappearance brings back memories of last year.

• Marshawn Lynch went 19-for-64 and another touchdown while catching three passes for 22 yards. He's useful in this semi-competent offense. Doug Martin had nine effective carries but no catches.

• The Dolphins are 3-0, and Ryan Tannehill is now 10-1 in his last 11 games. He went 17-for-23 for 289 yards (12.6 YPA), three TDs and no picks. He took only one sack and led the team with 26 rushing yards.

• Kenyan Drake did nothing, and the receiving yards were mostly spread between Albert Wilson and Jakeem Grant. Wilson and Grant each scored TDs from Tannehill, and Wilson also threw a 52-yard TD to Grant on a trick play. Kenny Stills caught the other TD, though no receiver had more than five targets. (Personal note: I benched Wilson in my 14-team non-PPR league less than an hour before the start of the games for D.J. Moore.)

• Pat Mahomes continued his early-season record-book onslaught, racking up three more TDs in the first half. But the Chiefs, nursing a big lead, scored only three points in the second, and Mahomes' final stats - 24-for-38, 314 yards (8.8 YPA), three TDs, no picks - were merely very good, not jaw-dropping for the first time this year. It's unclear whether the 49ers found something other teams can copy, or whether the Chiefs just took their foot off the gas with a big lead.

• Kareem Hunt struggled on the ground, but had 18 carries and scored twice. He failed to catch his only target, however, and it's concerning in PPR formats that Damian Williams and Spencer Ware are more involved in the passing game.

• Travis Kelce led the team with a 10-8-114 line, while Sammy Watkins (8-5-55-1) and Tyreek Hill (5-2-51) chipped in modestly.

• Jimmy Garoppolo was leading a comeback before injuring his knee. There's no word yet, but it's feared he might have torn his ACL, which means C.J. Beathard would be the QB in the near term. Essentially, the team's season is probably over.

• Matt Breida appeared to suffer a serious injury himself in the first half, but returned to lead the team with 90 yards on 10 carries. Alfred Morris had 14 carries for 67 yards and a score.

George Kittle led the team with five catches on seven targets for 79 yards, while Marquise Goodwin (quad) and Kyle Juszczyk scored TDs. But all bets are off with Garoppolo out. Pierre Garcon caught only one of four targets for 11 yards.

• Drew Brees has aged even less than Tom Brady. His spin move to beat two defenders for the game tying TD was characteristic of a much younger player. All told he had an absolutely monster fantasy day - 396 passing yards, three TDs, no picks and two rushing TDs.

• Michael Thomas is on an all-time pace after a 10-10-129 day. His 38 catches in three games prorate to 203 catches over 16. The single-season all-time catch record is 143 (Marvin Harrison), and only three times has a receiver ever cracked 130. I'd be more optimistic about Thomas getting there were he seeing uncanny volume, but instead he's doing it with an insane 95 percent catch rate - he's failed to haul in only two of his 40 targets. Last year he caught 104 of 149 looks (70 percent), still an excellent rate for an outside receiver, but probably the upper limit even for him and Brees.

• Alvin Kamara went 20!-15-154 and had 16 carries for 66 more yards, while Mike Gillislee and Jonathan Williams combined for four carries. Mark Ingram should have his full role waiting for him when he returns.

• Not to be outdone, Matt Ryan threw for 374 yards (10.7 YPA) and five TDs, three of which went to first-round rookie Calvin Ridley, who seems to be the badly-needed complement to Julio Jones. Ridley went 8-7-146-3 while Jones a more modest but still efficient 6-5-96. Of course, Jones caught none of the five TDs (Mohamed Sanu, Austin Hooper.)

• Tevin Coleman went 15-for-33 and caught only two passes. Backup Ito Smith caught three passes for 41 yards.  But let's not judge Ito on his two carries for minus six yards.