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Week 2 Observations

Week 2 wasn't as bad as Week 1 - you can only die in Survivor once, and at least I had already priced in the Leonard Fournette/Le'Veon Bell absences. Of course, that doesn't make it good. I dropped D.J. Moore to make room for Dante Pettis in the 14-team, QB-flex Stopa (Loan Pickle) League where I have Marquise Goodwin. It's the same league where I bought Jameis Winston at a "discount" and opted for $2 Sam Bradford as my three-week fill-in instead of $1 Ryan Fitzpatrick. It seemed like a small, almost irrelevant decision at the time - in fact, Fitzpatrick faced a tough Saints D in Week 1, while Bradford had a home game against the Redskins, and it seemed there was a better chance Bradford would keep the job most of the year, giving me a valuable third QB in the QB-flex format.

Between handicapping, fantasy, DFS and survivor, I make many judgment call errors like these every week. Part of it is being in so many pools and leagues. If I make 10 close lineup calls per week - and even generously assuming I'm on the right side of every 55/45 dilemma - I'm going to botch four of them. Sometimes, as was the case when I sat Kelvin Benjamin for Josh Doctson, it only costs you a handful of points and doesn't swing the outcome. But for others, it's a Fitzpatrick/Bradford full-blown disaster. The closeness of the call is not necessary related to the magnitude of the consequences for being wrong about it.

The Giants game was an unbearable watch, and that was the 40-minute condensed version. Eli Manning has the pocket presence of a horror-movie victim who hides in the darkest corner with no escape route, waiting in helpless terror for the axe murderer's blade. Not only did Manning hold onto the ball way too long, but he always turned right into the sack, usually an extra 3-5 yards backwards. Consider he took six sacks for 59! yards. What non-running QB averages 10 yards per sack? Granted the offensive line is bad, and the Cowboys front seven is strong, but Manning's presence magnified those traits on both sides. He hasn't been good since 2011, and it's time to see what fourth-round pick Kyle Lauletta brings to the table. The only thing Ben McAdoo did right in two years was bench Manning, and unfortunately he was pilloried for it, but Pat Shurmur needs to follow suit sooner rather than later.

Shurmur for God knows what reason punted on fourth and short from midfield a couple times before coming to his senses and running a couple successful sneaks on 4th-and-1 subsequently. I still believe in him as an offensive coach, but I'm not sure even he can salvage Manning.

Saquon Barkley (16 targets, 14 catches) looked great despite averaging only 2.5 YPC and 5.7 yards per catch. He broke tackles in the backfield, extended for extra yards and caught Mannings's poorly thrown low balls while shaking off defenders. He's going to be a monster, and I'd take him over Sam Darnold all over again, despite Manning's awful play. (Just because you need a new QB doesn't mean you need one in the first round.)

Odell Beckham had nine targets, but caught only four. This was on the line and Manning - few of the targets were actually catchable.

Evan Engram caught all seven targets, one of which went for a score in garbage time. The usage tree is narrow in NY, and he should benefit.

Dak Prescott played decently against a fairly stout Giants defense, but after his early 64-yard TD to Tavon Austin, was again a Jason Garrett-coached caretaker. Running for 45 yards and taking zero sacks was a lot better than Manning's running for four yards and taking 59 sack yards. It's hard to see much upside for Prescott in this offense.

Zeke Elliott went 17 for 78 and a score and caught five passes for only nine yards. He's as steady as they come, but the Cowboys have yet to unleash him in the passing game, and I wonder whether they ever will.

The Cowboys receivers are unstartable.

The Jaguars-Pats game was in many ways a repeat of their AFC title game, and at one point in the fourth quarter, when Doug Marrone tried to draw New England offsides on 4th-and-1 at midfield rather than going for the game-sealing win, I thought he had failed to learn the lesson. But even though he punted in that situation, Marrone went insane putting the pedal to the ground on subsequent drives, passing rather than running up 11 with three minutes left and even throwing for a first down in the final 90 seconds with the 11-point lead. He took it to a level beyond which even I would have gone, but good for him. Win the game with your offense against a tired defense rather than giving the ball back to Tom Brady.

Blake Bortles played an impeccable game, looking like Aaron Rodgers with his excellent decision making and scrambling ability. His 45-29-377-4 line with 8.4 YPA, no sacks and one pick (off a ball that went through his tight end's hands) was one of the top performances of the day.

In Fournette's absence T.J. Yeldon got 10 carries, but Corey Grant saw seven targets and six catches. Both backs looked good, but make no mistake, when healthy, Fournette will get the bulk of both roles.

Keelan Cole made the catch of the year, a one-handed snag on a ball behind him near the sidelines on the full run. He went 8-7-116, and he's the team's best receiver. Dede Westbrook connected for a 61-yard TD that sealed the game, but he saw only five targets, and Donte Moncrief actually led the team with nine targets and score, but had only four catches for 43 yards.

Sony Michel led the Pats in carries with 10, and I expect him to be the team's lead back going forward. Rex Burkhead, the most overdrafted player in league history, had six carries and no targets.

James White went 8-7-73 and Chris Hogan caught two TDs, but no one else did much. Rob Gronkowski had a quiet 4-2-15 game. He simply does not get consistent enough volume to be worthy of a top-15 pick in PPR.

Derek Carr rebounded from a poor Week 1 with a 32-29-288 game with a TD and no picks in Denver. He got 9.0 YPA, but it was mostly short stuff, and the efficiency was due to completing 91 percent of his passes.

Amari Cooper went 10-10-116, firmly putting himself back into the top-15 WR mix. He's still just 24 and should see a lot of work all year.

Marshawn Lynch is still a force near the goal line, scoring for the second straight week, putting up an 18-65-1 line. Jared Cook contributed his more typical 4-4-49 after his massive Week 1.

Case Keenum had a poor day against a weak Raiders defense at home - just 35-19-222-0 with a pick. He did rush for 16 yards and a TD, however.

I mocked people for spending 45 percent of their FAAB budgets on Phillip Lindsay, but maybe I was wrong. He had another big game - 14-107 - and looks the part. Still he had only one target and Royce Freeman (8-for-28) scored the TD.

Emmanuel Sanders had only four targets, but made the most of them for 96 yards. Demaryius Thomas had 11 looks, but had only five catches for 18 yards and a drop that nearly cost them the game. Tight end Jake Butt went 6-4-48.

The 49ers were awfully lucky a defensive hold on the other side of the field negated a pick that would at least have sent the game to overtime and might have cost them the game in regulation.

Jimmy Garoppolo still had 7.9 YPA and two TDs, but it wasn't a massive game against a beatable Detroit defense. No single receiver had more than four targets or 57 yards.

Matt Breida was the team's offensive star with 11-for-138 and a TD in addition to three catches for 21 yards. Alfred Morris had 14 carries for 48 yards and caught both of his targets for 32 more. This is a 50/50 timeshare for now.

The Lions ran the ball effectively, but were trailing, so they attempted only 17 rushes. Matthew Stafford threw it 53 times for 347 yards, three TDs and no picks, but wasn't especially efficient (6.5 YPA.)

Golden Tate led the team with 13 targets and 109 yards, but Theo Riddick had 12 targets (nine catches 47 yards), and Kenny Golladay (nine targets) and Marvin Jones (nine targets) each caught TDs. Kerryon Johnson had six targets and five catches, but for only 23 yards. Essentially, the passing game is split between the three wideouts and Riddick.

The Rams lost Greg Zuerlein early and Todd Gurley late, but it made no difference. They dominated a terrible Cardinals offense from start to finish, and Gurley apparently left with minor cramping.

Jared Goff should have a monster year, irrespective of game flow. He attempted 34 passes despite the blowout and despite averaging 11.1 YPA (usually efficiency and volume are inversely correlated, especially in a 34-point win.) He had only one TD, but 354 yards. Put differently, 354 yards has to be close to an all-time record in a game where the opposing team scored zero points.

 Thanks to Zuerlein's absence, Gurley was scoring eight-point TDs early as the Rams just gave it to him on the first-two two-point conversions too. He wasn't efficient, and he missed most of the second half, but as usual, he got his with three TDs and three catches.

Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods saw nine targets each with the former getting 159 yards and the latter 81. That's about par for the course. Cooper Kupp caught all six of his targets for 63 yards.

David Johnson owners better hope for a QB change. The Sam Bradford offense (3.3 YPA) isn't working, and Johnson's workload (13 carries, two targets, one catch) is suffering. Even Larry Fitzgerald managed only meager 5-3-28 line and left the game in the third quarter with a hamstring injury.

After the Redskins dominance in Arizona last week, many thought they might have turned a corner. But now we know it's more likely the Cardinals are bad than Washington is good. Alex Smith dinked and dunked to Chris Thompson 13 times, but his longest pass play of the day was 34 yards, and the Redskins failed to score a TD.

Adrian Peterson was stuffed at home by the Colts, not a great sign, though he did catch another three passes for 30 yards. Paul Richardson, Josh Doctson and Jordan Reed split the targets fairly evenly while Jamison Crowder saw only four. No target other than Thompson has emerged as Smith's favorite yet.

Andrew Luck had a forgettable day with 5.8 YPA and two picks. T.Y. Hilton went 11-8-83-1, but no one else did much. (Eric Ebron scored for the second straight week, but had only 26 receiving yards.)

Jordan Wilkins and Marlon Mack had 10 carries each, with Wilkins being more efficient. Unfortunately for both, Nyheim Hines (four carries for seven yards) scored the TD, but Hines was barely used in the passing game after a prolific Week 1.

It's hard to believe 35-year old Ryan Fitzpatrick is a different player this year, but the Bucs are 2-0, beating up on the Saints and Eagles defenses. And by beating up, I mean chopping into unrecognizable pieces. Through two games, Fitzpatrick has 819 yards and eight TD passes to go along with 35 rushing yards, another TD and 13.4 YPA. After Week 1, I didn't take seriously the idea he might keep the job after Winston finishes his suspension, but unless Fitzpatrick falls apart against the Steelers this week, I think that's the most likely scenario.

It's crazy that in QB-flex leagues someone out there must have drafted Pat Mahomes and Jameis Winston and picked up Fitzpatrick for the first three weeks. If so, that person now has 18 TD passes and a rushing TD out of his QB tandem through two weeks.

No Tampa receiver went crazy this week as the production was evenly split between the big four: Mike Evans, DeSean Jackson (concussed or not), Chris Godwin and O.J. Howard. It's worth noting Evans had 12 targets and 10 catches (for only 83 yards), while Godwin had six targets and Howard and Jackson four apiece. I hope if or when Winston returns, he doesn't resurrect Cameron Brate's carcass at the more explosive Howard's expense.

The Bucs have no running game of which to speak. It might be time to give persona non grata Ronald Jones a shot.

Nick Foles played better - 334 yards and a TD this week - but much of it was in extended garbage time, and the team clearly misses Alshon Jeffery. Nelson Agholor had 12 more targets and eight catches for a score, but for only 88 yards. Zach Ertz had a 13-11-94 line. With Mike Wallace also hurt, the team would be a logical target for Josh Gordon.

Corey Clement was their primary receiving back in Darren Sproles' absence and posted 6-5-55 through the air to go along with six carries for 30 yards and a score on the ground. (Jay Ajayi missed some of the game with an injury, but also scored.) Before you get excited about Clement, keep in mind Wendell Smallwood also saw seven carries in Ajayi's temporary absence.

Pat Mahomes threw six more TDs and now has 10 in two games. He also got 11.6 YPA in a tough road environment and connected for big plays with all three of his key targets. There's a good case for him as the QB1 right now.

Travis Kelce had a 10-7-109-2 line, putting a quiet Week 1 behind him. And Sammy Watkins (7-6-100) looks like more than a decoy on his new team. Tyreek Hill saw only six targets, but managed 90 yards and a TD on them.

Kareem Hunt had another relatively disappointing day, given his team put up 42 points, but he still had 75 yards on 18 carries and one five-yard catch for a TD. He's got the opposite problem of David Johnson - Hunt's offense is too good right now, but that's a much better problem to have.

Ben Roethlisberger threw for 452 yards, but at a pedestrian 7.5 YPA thanks to his whopping 60 attempts. He had three passing TDs, no picks and even scored a rare TD on the ground.

Jesse James had a monster day, but on only five targets - 5-5-138-1. Juju Smith Schuster led the Steelers with 19-13-121-1, and Antonio Brown managed only 67 yards on 17 targets. James Conner got stuffed as a runner (but scored) and contributed 48 yards through the air on five targets.

Sam Darnold managed 334 yards and 8.1 YPA, but threw two picks and took three sacks against the Dolphins.

Quincy Enunwa continues to be Darnold's first look - 11-7-92 - but Terrelle Pryor (8-4-84) appears to have overtaken Robby Anderson (5-3-27) as his No. 2. Bilal Powell had a big game as a receiver (6-5-74-1), while Isaiah Crowell didn't do much (12 carries for 35 yards, two catches for four yards.)

Ryan Tannehill had a pedestrian passing day, but chipped in 44 yards rushing and didn't throw a pick. Albert Wilson led the team with 37 receiving yards on five targets and a score, but no one else saw more than four targets.

Kenyan Drake had 11 carries for 53 yards and a TD as well as four catches. Frank Gore had nine carries for 28 yards.

Tyrod Taylor had a good game, passing for 246 yards on 8.2 YPA and ran for 26 more, but Zane Gonzalez missed a go-ahead extra point in the final minute and then a game-tying field goal in the final seconds.

With Josh Gordon gone, Antonio Callaway led the team in receiving with 81 yards and a dramatic TD, but on only four targets. Jarvis Landry had seven targets, catching five for 69 yards. Rashard Higgins had a similar (7-5-47) line.

Carlos Hyde led the team with 16 carries, but only 43 yards. Nick Chubb had only two carries, but could take over the job before long. None of the backs made an impact in the passing game.

Drew Brees had only 6.9 YPA and 243 yards, but he threw two TDs and no picks.

Michael Thomas had another monster day - 13 targets, 12 catches and two more TDs. Ted Ginn had seven targets and Alvin Kamara six. Kamara's day was relatively modest, 3.5 YPC, 99 YFS, six catches, no TDs.

Deshaun Watson had 310 yards, 9.7 YPA and two TD passes to go along with 44 rushing yards - maybe he's back, even if he squandered the game on the last play by scrambling around too long and using up the entire clock.

Of course Will Fuller caught a TD - he does whenever Watson plays. He also had nine targets, eight catches and 113 yards. DeAndre Hopkins led the team with 11 targets, and caught six for 110 yards and a score.

Lamar Miller ran well and had 70 YFS, but no TDs and only two catches. He somehow seems to get lost in this offense despite the narrow tree and no running back competition of which to speak.

Blane Gabbert started in place of an injured yet strangely active Marcus Mariota and did nothing. Derrick Henry had 56 yards on 18 carries, Dion Lewis 42 on 14. Much of the Titans offense was on a 66-yard TD from Kevin Bayard to Dane Cruikshank on a fake punt.

Corey Davis went 7-5-55 and Taywan Taylor had a nice 18-yard TD, but saw only four targets.

Along with Roethisberger, Mahomes, Bortles and Fitzpatrick, Kirk Cousins had one of the monster QB days of the week - 48-35-425-4 - thanks to overtime, a 75-yard TD to Stefon Diggs and an improbable 25-yard TD to Adam Thielen that split two defenders.

Diggs had a monstrous 13-9-128-2 line, while Thielen went 13-12-131-1 and Kyle Rudolph went 8-7-72. Throw in Dalvin Cook's 5-3-52, and you have most of what should be a narrow and highly productive usage tree.

Cook struggled on the ground (10 for 38), but Latavius Murray saw only four carries and didn't have a single target.

Of course, this game was a joke on two levels. First, the Vikings would not have gotten to overtime, but for a terrible roughing-the-passer call on Clay Matthews which extended the Vikings final regulation drive. And the Vikings would have won in overtime but for a Daniel Carlson missed 35-yard FG, his third of the game.

Aaron Rodgers had pedestrian game against a tough defense, but didn't appear to aggravate his knee injury.

Jimmy Graham led the team with an 8-6-95 line and had a TD called back. Davante Adams had 12 targets, but only eight catches for 64 yards, though he did score. Geronimo Allison caught all six targets for 64 yards, and Randall Cobb (6-4-30) was quiet this week.

Jamaal Williams caught only three of seven targets for 12 yards and managed 3.7 YPC on 16 carries. Aaron Jones returns next week, though given Rodgers' limited mobility, Williams might survive due to his pass protection skills. But Jones is almost certainly the more dynamic player and has a decent chance to take over.

Philip Rivers did his job against a doormat with 9.5 YPA, three TDs and no picks. No Chargers pass catcher saw more than eight targets or 67 yards. Melvin Gordon had the only performance of note with 7-6-38-2, despite struggling in the running game (9-for-28). In fact, Austin Ekeler led the team with 11 carries for 77 yards.

LeSean McCoy had nine carries for 39 yards and caught four passes for 29 more before leaving with a rib injury. He yielded a short TD to Chris Ivory too. McCoy's value on this disastrous offense was on the brink, and that's not even considering the injury or unresolved off-field concerns. It's hard to recommend either of his backups - Ivory or Marcus Murphy, either.

Zay Jones led the team with two catches for 63 yards, and Kelvin Benjamin caught the lone TD. I don't know that there's anything to take away from this.

Josh Allen wasn't good, but his 7.4 YPA and 245 yards should buy him more starts, i.e., he wasn't Nathan Peterman bad.

Cam Newton had a big game playing catch-up with 335 yards, three TDs, one pick and 42 yards on the ground. He completed 14 passes to Christian McCaffrey who despite not being a "workhorse" or scoring TDs is still a PPR star. Devin Funchess (9-7-77), Jarius Wright (7-5-62) and D.J. Moore (2-1-51-1) also made impacts. Maybe the team will get Moore more involved next week.

McCaffrey had only eight carries in a game flow that favored the pass, while C.J. Anderson had three.

Matt Ryan had a big game - 9.7 YPA, two passing TDs and two rushing scores. Of course, the passing TDs went to Austin Hooper and rookie Calvin Ridley, rather than Julio Jones.

Jones had a modest 9-5-64, Ridley 5-4-64-1 (after being invisible Week 1) and Hooper 5-5-59. The Falcons are better when they get receivers other than Jones in the mix.

Tevin Coleman ran 16 times for 107 yards, while rookie Ito Smith managed nine for 46. Neither made a major impact in the passing game though Coleman caught four short throws. Expect roughly this split while Devonta Freeman is out.