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Picks, 6|FRONTS|28|FRONTS|10

Survived interleague play, survived the tough downswing that kicked off June, and in good shape for a solid run entering the All-Star break. Time to spend a little more time each day digging into performances, as we're to the point in the season where whatever I thought in the preseason has to be taken with a grain of salt. We have enough actionable information now. Tonight's not the card for it, but I still would like to stretch out the upper end of amounts over the next couple of weeks. I still think varying your bets like a card counter is part of the overall approach. Whether I've been too conservative or just reacting to what I've been dealt is up to the reader.

Florida +100, one unit. Setting the above aside, this line would have been -165 two months ago. I actually think R.A. Dickey is for real. However, the Mets' offense isn't, and the Marlins aren't nearly as bad as they looked over the weekend.

Cleveland +143, one unit. Marginal fade of the Blue Jays, who are both better than expected and not quite good enough to be a big road favorite against a decent team. Jake Westbrook is a good matchup against the Jays, as he throws strikes and ground balls.

Chicago (AL) -125, one unit. Better team, better starter, better bullpen. Line should be higher, and I say that aware that Buehrle is having one of his worst seasons.