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Picks, 5|FRONTS|11|FRONTS|10

I do believe that's a new highwater mark for the season, no thanks to Brian Fuentes or Manny Corpas.

Pittsburgh +108. Ohlendorf pitched well, as expected, but Bronson Arroyo was a little bit better. Jeff Clement's decision to swing at the first pitch--down and out of the strike zone--after consecutive walks in the ninth put the tying run on second base was unfortunate.

Atlanta -130. Would that they were all this easy, with Tommy Hanson pitching shutdown baseball and being backed up by a big sixth inning.

Colorado -102. Eh, my fault for taking the side and not the total. I'm extremely reluctant to do both in any game, and yesterday was as close as I've come to doing so. I don't think there's value in doing that, although I should be open to the possibility of that being the case.

Los Angeles (NL) -108. See, Chad Billingsley isn't evil.

Los Angeles (AL) +126. This should have been a lot easier, but Fuentes wet himself in the ninth and forced the Angels to win in 11 innings.

Let's see if I can keep being this insightful:

Seattle/Baltimore under 8 (-115), 1.5 units. I get Cliff Lee and the two worst offenses in the league. This number might go to 7.5 by gametime.

Florida -101, one unit. Ricky Nolasco once again has a great K/BB and a so-so ERA due to his home-run rate. I wanted to go bigger on this one, but a pitcher who can be homer-prone against a Cubs team that hits homers isn't that great a matchup. Randy Wells actually has a similar profile to Nolasco.

Atlanta/Milwaukee over 9 (-110), one unit. Neither Tim Hudson nor David Bush has pitched quite as well as their ERAs indicate, and again, I'm getting to tap into the Brewers' bullpen once Bush leaves. The Braves' offense has performed poorly, but still has the personnel to be above average.

Oakland +168, one unit. The line is high enough to tempt me onto Trevor Cahill again, although I'm less than excited about fading Colby Lewis. It helps that the Rangers' offense isn't that good.

Colorado +170, 1.5 units. Could be higher were I in any way confident about Aaron Cook. Cook has a 1/1 K/BB and just two quality  starts all year long. I'll stand by the Rockies as the best team in the NL for a bit longer, until we know whether they'll be getting anything from Jorge de la Rosa and Jeff Francis this year. I understand the arguments against them.

San Diego/San Francisco over 7.5 (+100), one unit. The two starting pitchers have combined to allow zero home runs this year. Maybe that doesn't end tonight, but it's the way I'm going to bet.

Los Angeles (AL) +121, one unit. Pretty much the same rationale as last night's pick, with the benefit of a worse starter pitching for the Rays.