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Luck of the Draw?

Let's say you had the No. 2 pick in a 12-team draft. You might have ended up with the following:

  • 1. Steven Jackson
  • 2. Brandon Jacobs
  • 3. Deuce McAllister
  • 4. Lee Evans
  • 5. Drew Brees
  • 6. Reggie Brown
  • 7. Tony Gonzalez
  • 8. Donte Stallworth
  • 9. Terry Glenn
  • 10. Reuben Droughns
  • 11. Matt Leinart
  • 12. Chargers Defense
  • 13. Matt Jones
  • 14. Josh Scobee

Conversely, if you picked No. 5, your draft might have gone like this:

  • Joseph Addai
  • Marshawn Lynch
  • Adrian Peterson
  • TJ Houshmandzadeh
  • Plaxico Burress
  • Braylon Edwards
  • LaMont Jordan
  • Kellen Winslow
  • Tony Romo
  • LenDale White
  • Eli Manning
  • Dwayne Bowe
  • Vikings defense
  • Matt Stover

And you could be using the same exact cheat sheet.

Obviously, it rarely lines up that badly or that well, but I found that in a lot of my drafts, where I was slotted in large part determined my team - almost as much as what players I liked. Because even if I was high on a player, I might not have been high enough on him to take him a round early. And by the time my next pick came around, he was gone.

Luckily, I don't own Steven Jackson, Deuce McAllister, Brandon Jacobs, Drew Brees or Tony Gonzalez in any league, but some of that is due to luck - I certainly would have picked Jackson at 2.