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Overall Steamer vs. NFBC Ranks

I re-ranked and valued the hitters and pitchers more appropriately in my last two posts by accounting for both catcher and closer scarcity, respectively. Here I put the two lists together and show the difference in dollars, rather than ADP spots.

The rankings are sorted in order of Steamer's dollar values (as translated by my formula):

Steamer RkPlayerSteamer $NFBC ADPNFBC $$ Diff
1Clayton Kershaw43.32341.381.94
2Mike Trout42.46144.38-1.92
3Mookie Betts38.73243.75-5.02
4Manny Machado35.20839.13-3.93
5Jose Altuve33.59441.13-7.54
6Miguel Cabrera33.591433.63-0.04
7Nolan Arenado33.54639.50-5.96
8Bryce Harper31.68936.88-5.20
9Trea Turner31.651035.88-4.23
10Max Scherzer31.311235.13-3.82
11Anthony Rizzo30.011334.25-4.24
12Kris Bryant29.86540.25-10.39
13Paul Goldschmidt28.80739.25-10.45
14Noah Syndergaard27.781831.88-4.10
15Josh Donaldson27.641135.38-7.74
16Madison Bumgarner26.881533.13-6.25
17Charlie Blackmon26.531732.25-5.72
18Kenley Jansen26.464522.533.93
19Chris Sale25.722130.13-4.41
20Aroldis Chapman25.544422.802.74
21Corey Kluber24.662429.05-4.39
22Carlos Gonzalez24.146417.896.25
23Carlos Correa24.071632.63-8.56
24Rougned Odor23.744023.93-0.19
25Nelson Cruz23.173924.22-1.05
26Robinson Cano22.943027.01-4.07
27Joey Votto22.282229.76-7.48
28Freddie Freeman22.012628.35-6.34
29Corey Seager21.971930.38-8.41
30Giancarlo Stanton21.793824.52-2.73
31Jose Abreu21.756218.333.42
32Xander Bogaerts21.702728.01-6.31
33Stephen Strasburg21.655120.950.70
34Jon Lester21.623525.43-3.81
35Jonathan Villar21.482030.38-8.90
36Andrew Miller21.271159.6511.62
37Francisco Lindor20.972827.68-6.71
38Eric Thames20.961784.5016.46
39Johnny Cueto20.894223.36-2.47
40Carlos Carrasco20.886018.782.10
41George Springer20.843226.37-5.53
42Starling Marte20.842329.40-8.56
43Andrew McCutchen20.626916.843.78
44Chris Archer20.415021.20-0.79
45Justin Verlander20.034323.08-3.05
46Yu Darvish19.963126.69-6.73
47Justin Upton19.828314.225.60
48Christian Yelich19.825719.480.34
49Adam Jones19.561179.4210.14
50Daniel Murphy19.233724.82-5.59
51Carlos Santana19.021209.089.94
52Edwin Diaz18.697815.103.59
53Ryan Braun18.634622.25-3.62
54Adrian Beltre18.488414.044.44
55J.D. Martinez18.405220.69-2.29
56Eric Hosmer18.3410610.767.58
57Gary Sanchez18.304821.72-3.42
58Brian Dozier18.303625.12-6.82
59Ian Desmond18.165619.72-1.56
60Wade Davis18.048513.884.16
61Jake Arrieta17.823326.05-8.23
62Chris Davis17.748114.563.18
63Edwin Encarnacion17.542528.70-11.16
64DJ LeMahieu17.448613.713.73
65Mark Trumbo17.427216.241.18
66Yoenis Cespedes17.395819.24-1.85
67Khris Davis17.329911.715.61
68Evan Longoria17.0110411.025.99
69Wil Myers16.725519.96-3.24
70Maikel Franco16.701218.977.73
71Buster Posey16.664123.64-6.98
72Hanley Ramirez16.527914.921.60
73A.J. Pollock16.513425.74-9.23
74Kyle Seager16.406817.05-0.65
75Gregory Polanco16.346318.11-1.77
76Zach Britton16.315919.01-2.70
77Kyle Schwarber16.077715.290.78
78Todd Frazier16.027515.660.36
79Albert Pujols15.931367.488.45
80Craig Kimbrel15.407415.85-0.45
81Trevor Story15.202927.34-12.14
82Adam Eaton15.121268.446.68
83Anthony Rendon15.089013.062.02
84Jean Segura14.945420.20-5.26
85Mark Melancon14.887016.64-1.76
86Shawn Kelley14.872113.0211.85
87Dallas Keuchel14.861456.718.15
88David Price14.826118.56-3.74
89Matt Kemp14.679212.751.92
90Lance McCullers14.531625.469.07
91Victor Martinez14.282292.4311.85
92Dee Gordon14.254721.99-7.74
93Ian Kinsler14.197615.47-1.28
94Jacob deGrom14.116617.47-3.36
95Jose Bautista13.8711210.003.87
96Matt Carpenter13.627116.44-2.82
97Kendrys Morales13.551605.597.96
98Ken Giles13.488813.380.10
99Justin Turner13.451288.245.21
100Mike Moustakas13.352063.2010.15
101Alex Bregman13.329112.900.42
102Tommy Joseph13.182142.9110.27
103Rich Hill13.161258.554.61
104Masahiro Tanaka13.158713.54-0.39
105Kole Calhoun13.091864.089.01
106Matt Shoemaker13.052222.6410.41
107Dustin Pedroia13.021377.395.63
108Jose Ramirez12.879312.590.28
109Kyle Hendricks12.826517.68-4.86
110Jonathan Lucroy12.755320.44-7.69
111Seung Hwan Oh12.747316.05-3.31
112Danny Salazar12.621248.653.97
113Gerrit Cole12.6211010.252.37
114Michael Pineda12.542033.329.22
115Carlos Martinez12.436717.26-4.83
116Jose Quintana12.2810510.891.39
117James Paxton12.241665.207.04
118Billy Hamilton12.104921.46-9.36
119Jason Kipnis12.1010011.570.53
120Jameson Taillon12.091516.245.85
121Odubel Herrera12.051199.192.86
122Melky Cabrera11.972611.6510.32
123Robbie Ray11.952132.949.01
124Danny Duffy11.939712.00-0.07
125Stephen Piscotty11.841308.043.80
126Aledmys Diaz11.611506.315.30
127Miguel Sano11.591189.302.29
128Jeff Samardzija11.411983.537.88
129Salvador Perez11.261337.763.50
130Kevin Kiermaier11.021794.446.58
131Rick Porcello10.8911110.130.76
132Cole Hamels10.888214.39-3.51
133Cam Bedrosian10.842103.057.79
134Marcell Ozuna10.771814.346.43
135Steven Matz10.701575.804.90
136Kelvin Herrera10.579412.44-1.87
137Zack Greinke10.519612.14-1.63
138Tim Anderson10.401565.874.53
139Roberto Osuna10.138014.74-4.61
140Lorenzo Cain10.121317.952.17
141Jeurys Familia10.061149.770.29
142Jonathan Schoop10.001655.264.74
143Dellin Betances9.941774.555.39
144Brad Miller9.871615.534.34
145Aaron Nola9.842003.456.39
146Raisel Iglesias9.461734.784.68
147Matt Moore9.431764.614.82
148Yasiel Puig9.402202.706.70
149Carlos Gomez9.371526.163.21
150Evan Gattis9.3710710.63-1.26
151Stephen Vogt9.272043.285.99
152Adrian Gonzalez9.001724.844.16
153John Lackey8.951595.663.29
154Yadier Molina8.911903.895.02
155Shin-Soo Choo8.893280.008.89
156Yasmani Grandal8.801417.041.76
157Willson Contreras8.778913.22-4.45
158Kenta Maeda8.769512.29-3.53
159Jake Lamb8.541446.791.75
160Matt Holliday8.512621.636.88
161Nomar Mazara8.452013.405.05
162Andrew Benintendi8.451298.140.31
163Joc Pederson8.361953.664.70
164Marcus Semien8.272073.175.10
165Ryon Healy8.261973.574.69
166Rajai Davis8.261943.714.55
167Brandon Belt8.151695.023.13
168J.T. Realmuto8.041139.88-1.84
169Carlos Beltran7.922162.845.08
170Felix Hernandez7.681357.570.11
171Ender Inciarte7.671963.624.05
172Drew Smyly7.582152.874.71
173Greg Bird7.472412.105.37
174Logan Forsythe7.292192.744.55
175Kevin Gausman7.141466.630.51
176Jon Gray6.951804.392.56
177Vince Velasquez6.941824.292.65
178Max Kepler6.942342.284.66
179Garrett Richards6.892382.174.72
180Adam Duvall6.871555.940.93
181Mike Napoli6.832172.804.03
182Marcus Stroman6.781546.020.76
183Matt Harvey6.671486.470.20
184Jackie Bradley6.661436.87-0.21
185David Robertson6.641238.76-2.12
186David Peralta6.602651.575.03
187Domingo Santana6.602541.794.81
188Josh Reddick6.552990.006.55
189Gio Gonzalez6.502910.006.50
190Brian McCann6.401685.081.32
191Julio Teheran6.3610810.50-4.14
192Elvis Andrus6.291536.090.20
193Cody Allen6.2510111.43-5.18
194Collin McHugh6.192840.006.19
195Alex Colome6.199811.85-5.66
196Dexter Fowler6.151874.032.12
197Russell Martin6.091675.140.95
198Randal Grichuk5.922122.982.94
199Curtis Granderson5.802790.005.80
200Michael Fulmer5.631397.21-1.58
201Ben Zobrist5.481754.660.82
202Tony Watson5.481476.55-1.07
203Neil Walker5.282471.953.33
204Didi Gregorius5.252531.813.44
205Nick Castellanos5.212023.361.85
206Troy Tulowitzki5.101585.73-0.63
207Brett Gardner5.062850.005.06
208Corey Dickerson5.032900.005.03
209Martin Prado5.013400.005.01
210Starlin Castro4.942362.232.71
211David Dahl4.8510311.16-6.31
212Yasmany Tomas4.731496.39-1.66
213Josh Bell4.712930.004.71
214Jacoby Ellsbury4.712501.882.83
215Jason Heyward4.692561.752.94
216Kevin Pillar4.663040.004.66
217Adam Wainwright4.662252.552.11
218Jake Odorizzi4.501834.230.27
219Denard Span4.473560.004.47
220Carlos Rodon4.361913.840.52
221Cesar Hernandez4.362830.004.36
222Justin Bour4.263020.004.26
223Jung Ho Kang4.232581.712.52
224Dansby Swanson4.151854.130.02
225Addison Russell4.141347.66-3.52
226Wilson Ramos4.122691.492.63
227Aaron Sanchez4.1210211.29-7.17
228Blake Snell4.102312.371.73
229Brandon Moss4.093150.004.09
230Hisashi Iwakuma4.072711.462.61
231Matt Wieters4.071893.940.13
232Welington Castillo4.051744.72-0.67
233Joe Mauer3.934090.003.93
234Jose Peraza3.9310910.38-6.45
235Brandon Maurer3.772332.311.46
236Austin Hedges3.732970.003.73
237Devon Travis3.682083.130.55
238Eugenio Suarez3.572641.591.98
239Joe Ross3.472392.151.32
240Hunter Renfroe3.462282.451.01
241J.A. Happ3.451933.75-0.30
242Byron Buxton3.401407.13-3.73
243Javier Baez3.311228.86-5.55
244Mike Zunino3.282780.003.28
245Ian Kennedy3.252521.841.41
246Drew Pomeranz3.242182.770.47
247Lance Lynn3.232820.003.23
248Hunter Pence3.112093.090.02
249Keon Broxton3.091704.96-1.87
250Nick Markakis2.943740.002.94
251Eduardo Nunez2.711169.53-6.82
252Ivan Nova2.512601.670.84
253Francisco Cervelli2.453100.002.45
254Travis Jankowski2.432870.002.43
255Yan Gomes2.253090.002.25
256Julio Urias2.161645.33-3.17
257Neftali Feliz2.132551.770.36
258Michael Brantley1.882242.58-0.70
259Alcides Escobar1.803270.001.80
260Sam Dyson1.711426.96-5.25
261Travis d'Arnaud1.672741.410.26
262Steve Pearce1.614050.001.61
263Sean Manaea1.531714.90-3.37
264Jharel Cotton1.442372.20-0.76
265Seth Smith1.254260.001.25
266Josh Harrison1.192731.42-0.23
267Jason Castro1.183790.001.18
268Brandon Crawford1.132481.93-0.80
269Taijuan Walker1.122272.48-1.36
270Jerad Eickhoff1.102053.24-2.14
271Tanner Roark1.081387.30-6.22
272A.J. Ramos1.051278.34-7.29
273Francisco Liriano1.013050.001.01
274Fernando Rodney1.002571.73-0.73
275Cameron Rupp0.972432.05-1.08
276Matt Duffy0.973370.000.97
277Alex Gordon0.843260.000.84
278Jeremy Hellickson0.813110.000.81
279Yuli Gurriel0.712721.44-0.73
280Jedd Gyorko0.662511.86-1.20
281Joe Panik0.603170.000.60
282Jay Bruce0.501993.49-2.99
283Yangervis Solarte0.502890.000.50
284Zach Davies0.472980.000.47
285Manuel Margot0.462491.90-1.44
286Yunel Escobar0.424550.000.42
287James McCann0.413210.000.41
288Asdrubal Cabrera0.232681.51-1.28
289Lucas Duda0.103490.000.10
290Francisco Rodriguez0.091327.85-7.76
291Tyler Glasnow0.062810.000.06
292Sonny Gray0.032212.67-2.64
293Adam Ottavino0.001635.39-5.39
294Hector Neris0.002402.12-2.12
295Jim Johnson0.001923.80-3.80
296Ryan Madson0.002322.34-2.34
297Addison Reed0.002591.69-1.69
298Nate Jones0.002631.61-1.61
299Brandon Kintzler0.002661.55-1.55
300Greg Holland0.003080.000.00
301Mike Foltynewicz-0.203130.00-0.20
302Ervin Santana-0.223290.00-0.22
303Jayson Werth-0.343730.00-0.34
304Tyler Flowers-0.483500.00-0.48
305Scott Schebler-0.523860.00-0.52
306Anthony DeSclafani-0.602442.02-2.62
307Howie Kendrick-0.623430.00-0.62
308Ryan Zimmerman-0.764040.00-0.76
309Jarrod Dyson-1.052232.61-3.66
310Alex Cobb-1.073000.00-1.07
311Jorge Polanco-1.173720.00-1.17
312Eduardo Rodriguez-1.172920.00-1.17
313Devin Mesoraco-1.292950.00-1.29
314Avisail Garcia-1.414160.00-1.41
315Trevor Plouffe-1.444350.00-1.44
316Mitch Haniger-1.533530.00-1.53
317C.J. Cron-1.572352.26-3.83
318Jordan Zimmermann-1.633200.00-1.63
319Michael Saunders-1.733630.00-1.73
320Steven Souza-1.733480.00-1.73
321Orlando Arcia-1.852701.48-3.33
322Jose Iglesias-1.854650.00-1.85
323Jett Bandy-1.873990.00-1.87
324Ryan Schimpf-1.903440.00-1.90
325Andrelton Simmons-1.913710.00-1.91
326Jason Hammel-1.983240.00-1.98
327Junior Guerra-2.062751.39-3.45
328Jorge Soler-2.062860.00-2.06
329Sandy Leon-2.122770.00-2.12
330Pablo Sandoval-2.123640.00-2.12
331Trevor Bauer-2.203140.00-2.20
332Chase Headley-2.274340.00-2.27
333Kolten Wong-2.313300.00-2.31
334Tom Murphy-2.622262.51-5.13
335Aaron Judge-2.713760.00-2.71
336Chris Carter-2.732761.37-4.10
337Hyun Soo Kim-2.83431#N/A#N/A
338Chris Herrmann-3.043750.00-3.04
339Daniel Norris-3.242800.00-3.24
340Marco Estrada-3.422302.40-5.82
341Mitch Moreland-3.443380.00-3.44
342Dylan Bundy-3.562671.53-5.09
343Brandon Drury-3.582461.97-5.55
344Leonys Martin-3.712422.07-5.78
345Tyler Naquin-3.793180.00-3.79
346Kennys Vargas-3.904290.00-3.90
347Jhonny Peralta-4.214560.00-4.21
348Cameron Maybin-4.562960.00-4.56
349Jose Reyes-4.782940.00-4.78
350Jurickson Profar-5.273690.00-5.27
351Brandon Finnegan-5.283330.00-5.28
352Zack Cozart-5.493850.00-5.49
353Travis Shaw-5.543060.00-5.54
354Hernan Perez-5.621844.18-9.80
355Danny Valencia-5.843350.00-5.84
356Lonnie Chisenhall-6.054480.00-6.05
357Colby Rasmus-6.214790.00-6.21
358Brandon Phillips-6.302880.00-6.30
359Eddie Rosario-6.744080.00-6.74
360Adonis Garcia-6.803840.00-6.80
361Andrew Toles-6.983510.00-6.98
362Charlie Tilson-7.143910.00-7.14
363Danny Espinosa-8.023670.00-8.02
364David Freese-8.224690.00-8.22
365Wilmer Flores-8.474130.00-8.47
366J.J. Hardy-8.504470.00-8.50
367Michael Conforto-9.013230.00-9.01
368Alex Dickerson-9.183950.00-9.18
369Angel Pagan-9.574760.00-9.57
370Gerardo Parra-10.254060.00-10.25
371Chris Owings-10.943010.00-10.94
372Dan Vogelbach-10.954200.00-10.95
373Melvin Upton-13.073620.00-13.07
374Yoan Moncada-14.662452.00-16.66
375Marwin Gonzalez-14.964390.00-14.96
376Ketel Marte-15.063520.00-15.06
377Raul Mondesi-15.483930.00-15.48
378Aaron Altherr-15.724490.00-15.72
379Mallex Smith-15.763550.00-15.76
380Freddy Galvis-15.803600.00-15.80
381Scooter Gennett-16.854610.00-16.85
382Tyler Saladino-16.974220.00-16.97
383Tony Wolters-17.773830.00-17.77
384David Wright-18.065200.00-18.06
385Delino DeShields-18.615170.00-18.61
386Andrew Susac-18.634120.00-18.63
387Cheslor Cuthbert-18.904830.00-18.90
388Joey Gallo-19.694270.00-19.69
389Tucker Barnhart-21.173870.00-21.17
390Ben Revere-21.553450.00-21.55
391Miguel Montero-22.274500.00-22.27
392A.J. Reed-24.474880.00-24.47
393Bruce Maxwell-24.514770.00-24.51
394Roman Quinn-24.704140.00-24.70
395Jorge Alfaro-24.794590.00-24.79
396Blake Swihart-25.144600.00-25.14
397Jefry Marte-26.264360.00-26.26
398Nick Hundley-26.534380.00-26.53
399Raimel Tapia-30.225140.00-30.22
400Brett Lawrie-32.214010.00-32.21

One issue at the very top is I used NFBC auction values to generate the top-21 ADP picks (through Chris Sale), and only afterwards multiplied by ~.998 for each subsequent pick until it reached ~$1 at pick No. 276 (12 teams * 23 players). In other words, the NFBC owner picking first isn't literally spending $44.38 on the pick - that's merely what his auctioning counterparts spent, and I had to use something to generate a baseline. Also, somewhat arbitrarily, I didn't start making each successive ADP slot uniformly lower until Sale (last $30 player). Even so, I think the NFBC "dollar values" do approximate what each slot is worth to them, particularly after Sale and serves as a useful point of comparison.

In the next post, I'll sort by the biggest dollar value outliers and see if there's any edge to be found is seeing where man (NFBC ADP) and machine (Steamer) most strongly disagree.