Trevor Rogers
26-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
0-4
ERA
4.31
WHIP
1.50
K
27
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Rogers carried a strong spring into the season, but his hopes of rebounding from a poor 2022 campaign were dashed after four starts. First, Rogers was shelved with a biceps strain, and when he appeared ready to return, the southpaw was diagnosed with a partial tear in his right lat, shutting him down for the season. In his four starts, Rogers was showing signs of improvement, including the introduction of a sinker. It was only 18 innings, but his peripherals were much closer to 2021 than 2022. Because the second injury was to his non-throwing arm, Rogers was able to play catch down the stretch, with plans on continuing to throw into the offseason. He'll enter 2024 as a wild card. Even if Rogers demonstrates 2022 is the outlier, durability is an issue after making only four starts last season and 23 the prior campaign. Rogers is best drafted as a fungible starter, with streaming upside and replaceable if he struggles. Read Past Outlooks
Remains winless
Rogers (0-4) took the loss Monday, giving up three runs on four hits and three walks over five innings as the Marlins fell 7-2 to the Nationals. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
The southpaw threw 55 of 89 pitches for strikes before exiting, and all three of the free passes he issued came in the fifth inning -- including one to Jesse Winker with the bases loaded. Rogers has gone at least five innings in all six of his starts so far this season but has yet to complete six frames, and he'll take a 4.31 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 27:12 K:BB through 31.1 innings into his next outing, which lines up to come on the road this weekend in Oakland.
The southpaw threw 55 of 89 pitches for strikes before exiting, and all three of the free passes he issued came in the fifth inning -- including one to Jesse Winker with the bases loaded. Rogers has gone at least five innings in all six of his starts so far this season but has yet to complete six frames, and he'll take a 4.31 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 27:12 K:BB through 31.1 innings into his next outing, which lines up to come on the road this weekend in Oakland.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
87
How many pitches does Trevor Rogers generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Trevor Rogers generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-29%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-16%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .205 | 49 | 17 | 30 | 2 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .289 | 103 | 46 | 137 | 17 | |||
2024vs Left | .242 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 1 | |||
2024vs Right | .287 | 16 | 9 | 27 | 1 | |||
2023vs Left | .200 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |||
2023vs Right | .236 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 2 | |||
2022vs Left | .194 | 33 | 13 | 19 | 1 | |||
2022vs Right | .298 | 73 | 32 | 97 | 14 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-5%
ERA on Road
2024
-3%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 5.17 | 1.46 | 87.0 | 9.7 | 3.1 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.93 | 1.49 | 69.1 | 7.5 | 4.3 | ||||
2024Home | 4.35 | 1.50 | 20.2 | 8.7 | 3.5 | ||||
2024Away | 4.22 | 1.50 | 10.2 | 5.9 | 3.4 | ||||
2023Home | 3.38 | 1.20 | 13.1 | 9.5 | 2.7 | ||||
2023Away | 5.79 | 1.29 | 4.2 | 9.6 | 3.9 | ||||
2022Home | 5.94 | 1.51 | 53.0 | 10.2 | 3.1 | ||||
2022Away | 5.00 | 1.50 | 54.0 | 7.7 | 4.5 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Trevor Rogers compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.25K/9
7.8BB/9
3.4HR/9
0.6Fastball
92.1 mphERA
4.31WHIP
1.50BABIP
.350GB/FB
1.73Left On Base
65.6%Exit Velocity
83.4 mphBarrels/BBE
4.7%Spin Rate
2115 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
27.6%Swinging Strike
12.0%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Teams showing interest
The Marlins are receiving trade interest from other clubs in Rogers, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Miami would seemingly be selling low on Rogers, who didn't pitch with the big club after April because of a left biceps strain and partially torn right lat. Rogers was throwing toward the end of the regular season, but it's uncertain what his current health status is. He's under team control through 2026.
Miami would seemingly be selling low on Rogers, who didn't pitch with the big club after April because of a left biceps strain and partially torn right lat. Rogers was throwing toward the end of the regular season, but it's uncertain what his current health status is. He's under team control through 2026.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2018
What...was...that? Rogers was one of the more wide awake sleepers heading into the 2022 draft season who many targeted in the late rounds after watching his growth in 2021 only to watch him aggressively backslide statistically in 2022 in many areas. His K-BB% dropped 40% while he specialized in filling the basepaths either by hits (.278) or walk rate (9%) and the first half splits were as poor as the second half splits. He allowed just 1 homer and a .194 average to lefties on the seasons while righties sprinted to the bat rack to hit 14 homers off him with a .298 average. Over three seasons, he has 14 quality starts in 55 career starts (25% rate) showing the risks with taking his upside too early in a draft. We cannot pretend 2021 is the real deal when 2020 and 2022 happened as well because the both sample sizes happened in nearly the same amount of innings. The biggest difference in the two samples was how well his fastball performed in 2021 when he most pitched up in the count (.222 avg; .334 SLG) vs 2022 when he was behind too often (.312 avg; .553 SLG.)
More Fantasy News
Hit with third loss
Rogers (0-3) took the loss Tuesday against Atlanta, surrendering five runs (three earned) on seven hits and a walk while striking out four batters.
ANALYSIS
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Pitches well in no-decision
Rogers didn't factor in the decision Wednesday versus the Giants after he gave up a run on four hits and no walks over 5.2 innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Moving up to Wednesday
Rogers will move up a day to start Wednesday versus the Giants, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Comes up short Friday
Rogers (0-2) took the loss Friday as the Marlins were routed 8-1 by Atlanta, giving up two runs on eight hits and a walk over five-plus innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Gets little help in loss
Rogers (0-1) took the loss Saturday as the Marlins fell 3-1 to the Cardinals, giving up three runs on five hits and three walks over five innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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